Publications
51 publications
Russian economy on the brink of recession
Even the windfall from the Iran war is not enough to save it
Putin's Fatal Blow to Russia's Demographics
Latest Data
Russian Economy's “Unholy Trinity”
Recession, Inflation, Budgetary Crisis
A Vision of the Future Against Fatigue and Resentment
To overcome the hardships of war and emigration, Russians in exile need to adopt a global mindset
Why the 28-Point “Plan” on Ukraine Can’t be Considered Serious
A One-Sided Proposal That Ignores the Realities on the Battlefield
Russia’s Budget Crisis, Explained
And what it means for the war in Ukraine
Crises multiplying behind Putin-China photo-op facade
When the rhetoric of an “unlimited alliance” faces economic reality
What’s Happening to the Russian Economy?
The Factors Behind Russia’s Economic Resilience Have Run Out
The evolution of the US–Russia sanctions regime
Structure, composition and ways to improve effectiveness
Record deficits, inflation, recession fears—a moment of reckoning?
Russian Economy and Sanctions Brief—May 2025
Russian Economy and Sanctions Brief—March 2025
Stagflation, Budget Deficits, and What Easing Sanctions Would Mean
The U.S. Political Factor in Russia’s Economic Future
Economy and Sanctions Brief — February 2025
The Russian Economy and Sanctions Brief—January 2025
More Uncertainty Follows as the Central Bank Yields to Pressure
Russian Economy and Sanctions Brief—November 2024
Between inflation and stagflation, lobbyists versus bankers, and the need for sanctions control
The Russian Economy and Sanctions Brief—October 2024
Inflation, budget and labor shortages, and a cooling of relations with China
The Russian Economy and Sanctions Brief—August 2024
Vladimir Putin’s corridor of economic opportunities is narrowing
Putin’s War Economy
Czar Broadcasts Panic
In Their Own Words: Russian Officials Openly Describe the Dire State of the Russian Economy
Vulnerabilities of Putin’s System Are Profound and Rapidly Progressing
Belousov’s Appointment Exposes a Structural Crisis in Putin’s MOD
Putin’s difficulties are plenty and mounting
The Transition Project: Post-Soviet Experience and Russia’s Recent Track Record
We see that Russia has slid towards authoritarianism. Does this mean that the democratic experiment of the 1990s was an absolute failure?
The Transition Project: Decentralization of the Economy
Economic reforms and decentralization in Russia
Putin’s cabinet reshuffle hints to his panic over strategic limbo
Civilian and Security Appointments and Their Potential Consequences
Vladimir Putin’s interview to Tucker Carlson. Not as harmless as it may seem at first glance
Debunking Putin’s lies about his war against Ukraine is essential to win the hearts and minds of the voters in the U.S. and beyond
Why Russia’s Presidential elections don’t matter, and why they still do
Do these elections still matter? What’s the best plan of action for the Russian prodemocracy forces for these elections?
Source of Optimism for 2024: Putin’s Vulnerabilities are Plenty and Growing
Putin has a lot of weaknesses, and they are getting more and more numerous
Current trends in Russian public opinion toward the war
What are the trends in Russian public opinion regarding the war and support for the Putin regime?
A Bad Summer for Putin
Russian dictator threatened by multiple crises, with more to come
Public Opinion in Russia and War in Ukraine: End of the Year Recap
No one in Russia wants a long-term war, and the mobilization for the war is unpopular
A Case for Supporting Free Democratic Russia
The paper argues that Russia’s democratization is based on genuine bottom-up public demand for democracy
There’s no money, but you keep on fighting
Vladimir Milov on how Putin is running out of money for war effort
Yandex is the Kremlin’s Weapon Against Democracy
Its close cooperation with the Russian authorities and security services
Russian Society is in the Midst of a Profound Transformation not Captured by Traditional Opinion Polls
Between March-April 2022, the trust in television as a source of information fell thirty percent
Public opinion is turning on Putin’s war in Ukraine
Putin’s support hinged on his “operation” ending quickly and successfully
Saying “Nothing Will Ever Change in Russia” is not Only Unhelpful, It is Wrong
Russia’s Shifting Eras from Brezhnev to Putin
What is the Russian public opinion regarding Putin’s war against Ukraine?
Beyond the difficulties of polling under a totalitarian regime at war, the surveys’ methodology itself reveals key nuances
2021 in review: Is there any reason for optimism?
Everything Is Working Against Putin, but Expect More Repression in 2022
Russia post-elections
What the Duma Elections Say About Putin’s Support and the Outlook for 2024
Beyond archaic: Putin’s obsolete “strategy” of national insecurity for Russia
The 2021 National Security Strategy as a Window into the Kremlin’s Worldview
The West Must Not Sacrifice Human Rights for ‘Strategic Interests’ in its Relationship with Russia
A Response to Emma Ashford and Mathew Burrows’s “Reality Check #4”
Putin is Panicking
Vladimir Milov on the Constitutional Reform and the Government’s Resignation
Russian Youth: A Look Inside the “Black Box”
Values and Attitudes of Russians Aged 17–25 After the 2017 Protests
The Case of Baring Vostok: foreign investment is not safe in Putin’s Russia
The February 2019 arrests at the largest private equity firm investing in Russia
A piggy bank of $6 trillion for Putin’s cronies to “salt the stash away”
Vladimir Milov on the Record Surplus in the 2019–2021 Draft Budget
Russian pension reform: a “black swan” for Vladimir Putin?
Raising the retirement age as a breach of the informal social contract
The Current Russian Government Will Become a Textbook Example of Administrative Stagnation
Medvedev’s New Cabinet and the Growing Power of the Fiscal Hawks
The new old sanctions: why the U.S. Senate’s decision is so dangerous for Russia
The credit blockade, not oil prices, hit Russia’s economy hardest
Stop funding RT: Better ways to spend the budget money
RT Funding in Russia’s 2017 Federal Budget
Is the leader of the United Russia Party afraid of being elected in Russia?
Transnistrian Voters Assigned to Irkutsk and Smolensk Districts
From Disapproval to Change
Sanctions, Economic Crisis and Approval Ratings Ahead of the 2016 Duma Elections
Democratic Coalition: what next?
The Democratic Opposition After the 2015 Regional Elections
Is Putin really that popular and what is next after Nemtsov’s murder?
Signs of “Putin Fatigue” Behind the 85% Approval Rating